Thriving in complexity

Thriving in complexity

Embrace uncertainty to explore your options

Efficient decision models for the green transition

Efficient decision models for the green transition

Life cycle analyses for the full value chain

Strategy

Strategy

Navigating uncertainty in strategic decision-making

Thriving in complexity

Thriving in complexity

Embrace uncertainty to explore your options

Efficient decision models for the green transition

Efficient decision models for the green transition

Life cycle analyses for the full value chain

Navigating Uncertainty in Decision-Making

At Decision Risk Analytics, we develop stochastic modelling services designed for today's uncertain business environment. Our approach offers a clear pathway through the complexities of decision-making in a disruptive and volatile world.

We move beyond traditional single-point estimates to investigate the full range of possible outcomes and provide integrated views and insights into future business performance.

Our Team

We are a small dedicated team working passionately to transform the foundation for important decisions from traditional single point estimates to coherent data-driven analyses based on probable ranges of pertinent input variables. In spite of being a small team, we cover a wide range of business experience and professional competences, ranging from management of offshore energy assets through business risk management, financial analysis, data science visualization to software architecture, design and coding. Our goal is to offer a blazing fast and innovative platform for simulation of business outcomes based on accessible, adaptable and affordable software solutions.

Morten Aagesen

Morten Aagesen

Partner / CEO

Andreas Bloch

Andreas Bloch

Partner / CTO

John Stringer

John Stringer

Partner / Math Wizard

Jens Ole Thomsen

Jens Ole Thomsen

Partner / Business Advisor

Our values

Responsiveness: We listen to our customers and act on their needs, prioritizing feedback and continuous improvement. In our work, we strive to achieve a good balance between modelling effort and problem-solving detail.
Collaborative Mindset: We promote an open, respectful collaboration with our clients, in our partnerships, and within our own team.
Passion: Above all, we feel proud and passionate about what we do - we love models!

Solutions

Our software and services help organizations explore alternatives, assessing risks and uncertainties to make informed decisions in complex projects and value chains.

We've developed a blazing fast Monte Carlo simulation application, complemented by simple processes and services for easy integration into any project or business operation. Our data-driven modeling approach, focusing on ranges and probabilities instead of traditional deterministic assumptions, enables efficient and informed decision-making. Beyond predicting possible outcomes, this process also uncovers critical insights into uncertainties, value drivers and potential risks. Our services include training, support, independent evaluation, and validation, and we can tailor our services to meet specific compliance or other requirements.

Our approach is applicable across a broad spectrum of industries, accommodating various complexity levels, from straightforward business cases to comprehensive value chains involving sector couplings across multiple business interfaces.

Geothermal EnergyWind PowerPV - PhotovoltaicsHydro PowerCarbon Capture Utilization and Storage (CCUS)Electrolysis and e-fuels (PTX)Construction ProjectsLife Cycle Analyses (LCA)Life SciencesProcessing and OperationsSupply Chain AnalysesStrategic InitiativesPortfolio Analyses and OptimisationM&A ProjectsNGO and Non-profit Initiatives

Cases

We are proud to have worked on a variety of critical projects with recognized companies and organizations.

Aalborg Portland CCS Project

Aalborg Portland CCS Project

Aalborg Portland is planning the development of a carbon capture and storage (CCS) plant

Geothermal Prospect Evaluation Study

Geothermal Prospect Evaluation Study

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Welltec Value Proposition Tool

Welltec Value Proposition Tool

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How to Power Africa

How to Power Africa

Ending hunger and poverty in Africa may go hand in hand with the green transition

Business Partners and Associations

Factor3
WellPerform
Kairos technology
CarbonCuts
Energycluster Denmark
State of Green

Book a free modelling consultation

We offer introductory modelling consultations to help you understand the benefits of probabilistic modelling and how it can be applied to your business.

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